Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente2 - 0San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Independiente
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-2 Defensa
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | San Lorenzo |
58.86% ( 0.05) | 24.84% ( -0.04) | 16.3% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 40.36% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
