Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.
-0.46) 
0.14) 
