Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo2 - 0Bolivar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar
Flamengo will be sick of the sight of Palmeiras, having faced their domestic rivals in two of their three-match winless sequence. Tite's side should return to winning ways against in-form Bolivar on Thursday, keen to put their recent dip behind them and continue an unblemished continental run on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bolivar |
69.1% ( -0.27) | 17.72% ( 0.14) | 13.18% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
