Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 14, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 9 | -6 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 57.38% | 22.04% | 20.58% |
| Both teams to score 55.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
