Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal1 - 1Catolica
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Cristal | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
42.81% | 23.28% | 33.91% |
Both teams to score 63.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.09% | 37.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.83% | 60.17% |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% | 18.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.87% | 49.13% |
Universidad Catolica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% | 22.37% |