Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0Cristal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 57.07% | 23.93% | 19% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
