MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:32:22| >> :60:184:184:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada (Curitiba, Paraná)

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Metropolitanos

Kayzer (54')
Nikao (44'), Khellven (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (75'), Ernesto Mancin Salami (85'), (90+2')
Bustillo (79')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Metropolitanos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawMetropolitanos
41.6%24.21%34.18%
Both teams to score 60.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64%42.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24%64.76%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48%20.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98%53.02%
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7%24.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32%58.68%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 41.6%
    Metropolitanos 34.18%
    Draw 24.21%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawMetropolitanos
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Metropolitanos

Athletico Paranaense
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Metropolitanos
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
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