Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.