MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 22:20:59| >> :60:111:111:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Metropolitanos
2 - 3
Melgar

Bahachille (9'), Bustillo (20')
Bahachille (29'), J. Pabon Delgao (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cuesta (45+5'), Iberico (53'), Vidales (88')
Iberico (49')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Melgar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawMelgar
44.71%23.31%31.98%
Both teams to score 62.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25%38.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94%61.05%
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62%48.38%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96%58.04%
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 44.71%
    Melgar 31.98%
    Draw 23.31%
MetropolitanosDrawMelgar
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.98%

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