Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians1 - 0Estudiantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Belgrano 2-1 Estudiantes
Thursday, August 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, August 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Corinthians 1-0 Estudiantes
Both sides are in relatively good form at the moment, but ultimately, we expect home field and the recent experience of Corinthians in these big South American competitions will give them a slight edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Estudiantes |
44.04% ( -0.03) | 27.96% ( 0.01) | 28% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
