Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Estudiantes1 - 0Corinthians
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-3 Union
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Goias
Sunday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
We say: Estudiantes 1-1 Corinthians (Corinthians advance 2-1 on aggregate)
Estudiantes have proven they can score in bunches at home, but the defensive shape and organisation of Corinthians makes it difficult for us to believe the Argentines will be able to overturn their current deficit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.52%).
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Corinthians |
60.6% ( 0.04) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 15.56% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.79% ( 0) | 57.21% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.93% ( 0) | 78.06% ( -0) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( 0.01) | 18.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( 0.03) | 49.99% ( -0.03) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.95% ( -0.04) | 49.05% ( 0.03) |