Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli2 - 2Torino
We said: Empoli 1-1 Torino
Torino have travelled well enough this season, but now come face to face with opposition enjoying their best form of the season. Neither team is particularly prolific, yet current trends suggest they can both score at least once in a tightly-contested encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Torino |
37.75% ( 0.13) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 34.56% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.19) | 57.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.16) | 78% ( 0.15) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( -0.02) | 65.19% ( 0.02) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.22) | 31.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.25) | 67.56% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 37.74%
Torino 34.56%
Draw 27.68%
| Empoli | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.56% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Torino
Empoli
41.5%Draw
31.7%Torino
26.8%41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 11.30am
May 1, 2022 2pm
Empoli
1-3
Torino
Zurkowski (56')
Pinamonti (19'), Henderson (51'), Andreazzoli (62'), Stojanovic (75')
Verre (59'), Stojanovic (86')
Pinamonti (19'), Henderson (51'), Andreazzoli (62'), Stojanovic (75')
Verre (59'), Stojanovic (86')
May 19, 2019 2pm
Dec 26, 2018 5pm
