Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
32.72% ( -0.74) | 27.34% ( -0.08) | 39.94% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( 0.16) | 56.08% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.13) | 77.16% ( -0.13) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( -0.42) | 31.91% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.64% ( -0.48) | 68.36% ( 0.48) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0.54) | 27.47% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( 0.69) | 62.96% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |