Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino0 - 1Spezia
We said: Torino 1-0 Spezia
Tough to beat and boosted by their Coppa Italia heroics, Torino are set to claim back-to-back wins in the space of a few days by seeing off a low-scoring Spezia side on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Spezia |
52.17% ( 0.02) | 25.28% ( 0.01) | 22.55% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( -0.05) | 53.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( -0.04) | 75.39% ( 0.04) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.01) | 20.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.02) | 53.28% ( 0.02) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( -0.05) | 39.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.27% ( -0.05) | 75.73% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Torino 52.16%
Spezia 22.55%
Draw 25.28%
| Torino | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.55% |
How you voted: Torino vs Spezia
Torino
77.8%Draw
8.3%Spezia
13.9%36
