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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.18% (0.108 0.11) 25.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.7% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.161 0.16)47.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.148 0.15)70.07% (-0.154 -0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.15300000000001 0.15)29.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.19 0.19)65.52% (-0.196 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%
    Draw 25.12%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.7%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
21.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
53.6%
84
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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