MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:15:41| >> :600:4194218:4194218:
Stuttgart
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Dortmund

Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bensebaini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Both sides are enjoying positive runs and will certainly have their sights set on the quarter-finals, and we anticipate an entertaining encounter at the MHPArena on Wednesday. Having got the better of their visitors in the last Bundesliga meeting between the two teams, we fancy Stuttgart to again come out on top in this DFB-Pokal cup tie given the momentum on their side, particularly in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
50.35% (2.935 2.94) 21.87% (-0.359 -0.36) 27.78% (-2.582 -2.58)
Both teams to score 65.2% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)34.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (0.98599999999999 0.99)13.99% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.49% (1.907 1.91)41.5% (-1.91 -1.91)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-1.587 -1.59)24.19% (1.582 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-2.302 -2.3)58.52% (2.298 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 50.35%
    Borussia Dortmund 27.78%
    Draw 21.87%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.215 0.22)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.348 0.35)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.429 0.43)
4-1 @ 3% (0.269 0.27)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.277 0.28)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.143 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.403 -0.4)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
43.4%
Draw
18.4%
Borussia Dortmund
38.2%
76
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!