Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior4 - 2Jong AZ
Omorowa (19' pen.), Naujoks (65'), Sanches Fernandes (76', 90+4' pen.)
Widell (21'), Bronkhorst (26'), Naujoks (78')
Widell (21'), Bronkhorst (26'), Naujoks (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smit (6'), Daal (11')
Deen (16'), Esajas (45+1'), Smit (90+1')
Deen (16'), Esajas (45+1'), Smit (90+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Jong AZ 2-2 De Graafschap
Monday, September 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, September 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Jong AZ |
64.54% ( 0.06) | 18.05% ( 0.04) | 17.41% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
