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EFL Cup
Fulham logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Norwich logo

Fulham
2 - 1
Norwich

Vinicius (12'), Iwobi (72')
Muniz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sainz (75')
McCallum (16'), Placheta (45'), Warner (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Fulham and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Norwich City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 3-1 Norwich City

 Each team will probably make changes for this contest, throwing open the possibility of any result occurring at Craven Cottage. However, we can only back the home side, who have players in their squad who will want to impress in games such as this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawNorwich City
33.86% (0.101 0.1) 24.14% (0.113 0.11) 42% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.375 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.502 -0.5)42.1% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (-0.504 -0.5)64.5% (0.50600000000001 0.51)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.178 -0.18)24.36% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.254 -0.25)58.77% (0.256 0.26)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)20.24% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.491 -0.49)52.57% (0.493 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 33.86%
    Norwich City 42%
    Draw 24.14%
FulhamDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42%

How you voted: Fulham vs Norwich

Fulham
72.9%
Draw
10.4%
Norwich City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Norwich
0-2
Fulham

Murphy (83'), Maddison (90'), Reed (90')
Johansen (66'), Cairney (70')
McDonald (58'), Fredericks (78'), Norwood (85'), Kamara (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Fulham
1-1
Norwich
Martin (24' og.)
Cairney (66'), Johansen (85'), Fredericks (88')
Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (89'), Maddison (94')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Fulham
Jerome (76')
Hoolahan (28'), Howson (46'), Jerome (57'), Pinto (77')
Johansen (5'), Cairney (48' pen.), Ayite (89')
Malone (59'), Bettinelli (68'), Piazon (85')
Martin (45')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Fulham
2-2
Norwich
Johansen (55'), Martin (66')
Aluko (39'), Malone (40'), Parker (41'), Johansen (87')
Dorrans (17' pen., 41')
Jerome (44'), Dorrans (87'), Martin (87')
May 2, 2015 12.15pm
Norwich
4-2
Fulham
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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