EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Man Utd4 - 2Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Manchester United book their spot in the fourth round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 4-2 win over Aston Villa at Old Trafford.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
56.32% ( 1.13) | 22.55% ( 0.07) | 21.13% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -1.77) | 44.32% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -1.74) | 66.7% ( 1.75) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.23) | 15.55% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.44) | 44.49% ( 0.44) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -2.12) | 34.96% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.29% ( -2.29) | 71.71% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester United 56.31%
Aston Villa 21.13%
Draw 22.55%
| Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 2% Total : 21.13% |
How you voted: Man Utd vs Aston Villa
Manchester United
77.9%Aston Villa
22.1%244
Head to Head
Form Guide
Build-up
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