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EFL Cup
Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Aston Villa logo

Man Utd
4 - 2
Aston Villa

Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
McTominay (40'), Maguire (43'), Fernandes (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Luiz (52'), Young (54'), Bailey (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United book their spot in the fourth round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 4-2 win over Aston Villa at Old Trafford.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
56.32% (1.133 1.13) 22.55% (0.07 0.07) 21.13% (-1.199 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-1.949 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-1.772 -1.77)44.32% (1.777 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-1.744 -1.74)66.7% (1.746 1.75)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.235 -0.23)15.55% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.441 -0.44)44.49% (0.444 0.44)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-2.119 -2.12)34.96% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-2.293 -2.29)71.71% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 56.31%
    Aston Villa 21.13%
    Draw 22.55%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.673 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.562 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.408 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Aston Villa

Manchester United
77.9%
Aston Villa
22.1%
244
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Shaw (10')
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Man Utd
Ramsey (77'), Coutinho (81')
Digne (27')
Fernandes (6', 67')
Matic (31'), Fernandes (46')
Jan 10, 2022 7.55pm
Man Utd
1-0
Aston Villa
McTominay (8')
Fred (65'), Shaw (68'), Dalot (70')

Ramsey (12')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Man Utd
0-1
Aston Villa

Shaw (29'), Fred (77')
Hause (88')
McGinn (66'), Cash (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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