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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Adeboyejo (79')
Johnston (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mulley (33')
Zych (40'), Barnes (49'), Amundsen-Day (77'), Zych (95')
Aston Villa U21s win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Aston Villa Under-21s

The points could be shared in Bolton, as the home side may be fatigued from negotiating a frantic fixture list since midway through September, allowing Villa's young guns to secure a draw. The visitors may have leaked lots of goals this season, but they will be aided by a special guest star - and they pose a significant threat up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
69.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 15.63% (0.017999999999999 0.02) 14.68% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)21.99% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.11% (-0.163 -0.16)40.88% (0.166 0.17)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)5.82% (0.0299 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)27.68% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.127 -0.13)63.24% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.69%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 14.68%
    Draw 15.63%
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 69.69%
1-1 @ 5.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.63%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Aston Villa U21s

Bolton Wanderers
67.6%
Draw
23.5%
Aston Villa Under-21s
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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