MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 16:39:00| >> :600:3786110:3786110:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Forest U21s


Robinson (85'), Butterworth (86'), Plange (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Powell (69'), Perry (77')
McAdam (90+7')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-1 Forest U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
54.16% (0.334 0.33) 23.17% (0.196 0.2) 22.67% (-0.534 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-1.34 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (-1.456 -1.46)45.22% (1.453 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (-1.409 -1.41)67.56% (1.406 1.41)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)16.61% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.57% (-0.729 -0.73)46.43% (0.726 0.73)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (-1.282 -1.28)34.02% (1.28 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-1.404 -1.4)70.71% (1.401 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 54.16%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 22.67%
    Draw 23.16%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.482 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.344 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Forest U21s

Carlisle United
76.2%
Draw
9.5%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
14.3%
21
rhs 2.0
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
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14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
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RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


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