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Gillingham
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
3 - 2
Brighton U21s

Walker (19', 71'), Wright (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (31'), Miller (63')
Tsoungui (81')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Gillingham and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brighton U21s 4-0 Spurs U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
43.52% (0.839 0.84) 24.13% (0.137 0.14) 32.35% (-0.975 -0.98)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.979 -0.98)42.54% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.983 -0.98)64.95% (0.983 0.98)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)19.75% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (-0.061 -0.06)51.78% (0.061 0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-1.047 -1.05)25.46% (1.046 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-1.452 -1.45)60.29% (1.453 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 43.52%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 32.35%
    Draw 24.13%
GillinghamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.341 0.34)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.52%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.215 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.35%

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