Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
57.85% | 20.03% | 22.12% |
Both teams to score 65.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.91% | 31.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.51% | 52.5% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% | 10.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.23% | 34.77% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% | 26.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 57.85%
FC Utrecht 22.12%
Draw 20.03%
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 7% 1-0 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.12% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Utrecht
Ajax
85.7%Draw
8.2%FC Utrecht
6.1%49
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
P-P
Ajax
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Utrecht
2-0
Ajax
Nov 10, 2019 11.15am
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Ajax
4-1
Utrecht