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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Heerenveen

PSV
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Til (33'), Pepi (78')
Ramalho (42'), Pepi (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walemark (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 PSV
Sunday, December 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Heerenveen

 After winning away to the reigning champions on Sunday, it appears nobody will be able to stop PSV in their tracks this season, and a record-extending win is on the cards. Heerenveen have scored in 16 of their last 18 visits here, netting 12 in the last seven, but even though they have avoided defeat in eight of their last 16 games at the Philips Stadion, a defeat to the runaway league leaders looks likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
72.93% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 15.07% (-0.019 -0.02) 12% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.03% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.97% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)46.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)6.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.58% (0.046000000000006 0.05)23.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)34.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (0.012 0.01)70.78% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.93%
    Heerenveen 12%
    Draw 15.07%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 3.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 72.93%
1-1 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.07%
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 12%

How you voted: PSV vs Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Heerenveen
3.7%
54
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
3-3
Heerenveen
Sangare (14'), De Jong (79'), Simons (86' pen.)
Mwene (65'), Ramalho (77'), Hazard (90+7')
Van Ewijk (33'), Colassin (45+1', 58')
Kohlert (71'), Bruma (85')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 9
Heerenveen
0-1
PSV
Gakpo (75')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
PSV
3-1
Heerenveen
Madueke (13'), Gotze (46'), Veerman (50')
Halilovic (36')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Heerenveen
1-1
PSV
Hajal (73')
Kaib (62')
Vinicius (13')
Gutierrez (67')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 31
PSV
2-2
Heerenveen
Vertessen (57'), Gakpo (58')
Viergever (38'), Gakpo (87')
Halilovic (34'), De Jong (59')
Kongolo (22'), Smit (90+4'), Floranus (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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