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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Almere City
1 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Robinet (32')
Mbe Soh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Meijers (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Almere City
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-1 RKC Waalwijk

Almere City finally picked up their first Eredivisie victory in the last match, which should be a real confidence-boosting result. As such, despite the fact RKC Waalwijk's form has picked up, we expect the hosts to get the job done this weekend, although it is likely to be a closely-contested game.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almere City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Almere City.

Result
Almere CityDrawRKC Waalwijk
40.46% (0.276 0.28) 25.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 33.82% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-0.264 -0.26)49.26% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.238 -0.24)71.32% (0.24199999999999 0.24)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)58.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)27.81% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.418 -0.42)63.4% (0.421 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 40.46%
    RKC Waalwijk 33.82%
    Draw 25.72%
Almere CityDrawRKC Waalwijk
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Almere City vs RKC Waalwijk

Almere City
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
RKC Waalwijk
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 25
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
Almere City

Seys (64')
Receveur (28')
Receveur (25'), Meijer (63'), Loen (71')
Sep 28, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 7
Almere City
2-1
RKC Waalwijk
Vossebelt (42', 79')
Receveur (19'), Calcun (72'), Soleri (79'), Vossebelt (80')
Koenraad (75')
Drost (45'), Baggerman (71'), Vaessen (78'), Hansson (88')
Apr 2, 2018 1.30pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
Almere City

Vaessen (28'), Seys (61')
Hoefdraad (5'), Overtoom (45'), Salasiwa (65'), Owusu (84')
Mac-Intosch (52'), Salasiwa (79')
Nov 27, 2017 7pm
Almere City
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Valpoort (10' pen.), Walian (27'), Van der Water (33')
Valpoort (67'), Mac-Intosch (79')
Lammers (18'), Seys (42')
Vaessen (9'), Seys (36'), Drost (86'), Lammers (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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