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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.1% ( -0.59) | 12.77% ( -0.4) | 79.12% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.1% ( -0.15) | 26.9% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.63% ( -0.19) | 47.36% ( 0.19) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.04% ( -1.41) | 41.96% ( 1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.6% ( -1.25) | 78.4% ( 1.25) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.66% ( 0.14) | 5.33% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.02% ( 0.39) | 20.97% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 8.1% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 6.88% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 1-6 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.31% Total : 79.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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