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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Waalwijk logo

Nijmegen
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ
Sunday, August 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

NEC may consider themselves unlucky to have been on the receiving end of two defeats so far this season, but the visitors have very few positives to take out of their start to the campaign. Nijmegen also have a very good home record against RKC Waalwijk, winning 6-1 in this fixture last season, so we think the hosts should be able to record a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
57.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.3% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)64.71% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)14.55% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)34.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.89% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 57.27%
    RKC Waalwijk 20.74%
    Draw 21.98%
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk

NEC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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