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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
57.27% ( -0.01) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 20.74% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.05) | 42.3% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.05) | 64.71% ( 0.05) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( -0.02) | 14.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0.03) | 42.6% ( 0.04) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( -0.03) | 34.2% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -0.03) | 70.89% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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