MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 08:56:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 2
AZ


Kozlowski (33'), Isimat-Mirin (36'), Arcus (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavlidis (49', 64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 PSV
Saturday, August 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect this one to be no different. That said, we are tipping the away side to narrowly pip their hosts to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.6% (0.728 0.73) 25.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 43.68% (-0.758 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.187 0.19)50.31% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.166 0.17)72.26% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.61 0.61)30.45% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.717 0.72)66.65% (-0.717 -0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.279 -0.28)22.94% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.412 -0.41)56.72% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 30.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 25.72%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
AZ Alkmaar
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Vitesse
0-1
AZ
Karlsson (29')
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sankoh (87')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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