Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Nijmegen1 - 2Heracles
We said: NEC 1-1 Heracles
Despite Heracles' poor start to the campaign, their record in this fixture will surely offer some optimism that they can come away with a positive result. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Heracles |
67.21% ( 0.17) | 18.65% ( -0.07) | 14.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.09% ( 0.1) | 60.91% ( -0.09) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( 0.07) | 10.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.63% ( 0.15) | 34.37% ( -0.15) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.08) | 39.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.69% ( -0.07) | 76.31% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 67.2%
Heracles 14.14%
Draw 18.65%
| NEC | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.48% Total : 67.2% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.65% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.14% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heracles
NEC
55.6%Draw
27.8%Heracles
16.7%18
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Fomitschow (14')
