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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
53.68% ( -0.03) | 23.5% ( 0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.51% ( -0.09) | 46.49% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.23% ( -0.08) | 68.77% ( 0.09) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.04) | 17.25% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0.08) | 47.56% ( 0.08) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( -0.04) | 34.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( -0.05) | 71.31% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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