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AZ Alkmaar
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FC Utrecht
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
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NAC Breda
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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Vitesse

Sparta
1 - 0
Vitesse

Verschueren (6')
Bakari (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cornelisse (65'), Arcus (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam may have lost their last match, but they have otherwise looked pretty impressive in the early stages of the Eredivisie campaign. Considering Rijsdijk's side also have a solid recent record against Vitesse, we expect them to narrowly come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
32.65% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.58% (0.16 0.16) 42.77% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.35% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.769 -0.77)44.51% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.749 -0.75)66.88% (0.74299999999999 0.74)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.408 -0.41)26.23% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.548 -0.55)61.33% (0.543 0.54)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)20.9% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (-0.582 -0.58)53.61% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 32.65%
    Vitesse 42.77%
    Draw 24.58%
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.65%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.179 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Sparta vs Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vitesse
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Sparta
3-1
Vitesse
Verschueren (11'), Saito (45'), Kitolano (87')
Oroz (7')
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vitesse
0-4
Sparta
Lauritsen (69', 88'), Mijnans (72'), Verschueren (90+1')
Apr 19, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Vitesse
0-1
Sparta
(67')
Dec 18, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Sparta
2-2
Vitesse
Mijnans (70', 90+2')
Frederiksen (16', 37')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Sparta
3-0
Vitesse
Smeets (36'), Thy (77'), Emegha (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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