Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.