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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NAC Breda |
62.19% ( -0.02) | 20.33% ( 0.01) | 17.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.24% ( -0.01) | 39.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.88% ( -0.01) | 62.11% ( 0.01) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.73% ( -0.01) | 12.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62% ( -0.02) | 38% ( 0.02) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.86% ( 0) | 36.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% ( 0) | 72.91% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.19% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |