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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
NAC Breda

Willem II
2 - 2
NAC Breda

Bosch (61'), Bokila (90+8' pen.)
Vaesen (62'), Tirpan (66'), Bokila (89'), Nizet (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sauer (31'), Greiml (53')
Van den Bergh (90+1'), Hoefkens (90+5'), Leemans (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 1-0 NAC Breda

Despite beating Willem II on their last two visits to Tilburg, NAC's wretched road results since regaining promotion — one win, five defeats — leave much to be desired. However, the hosts have not fared better on their turf, winning twice in six matches in front of their supporters. Although the spoils could be shared in Sunday's game, the home side will back themselves to nick a marginal win for a third victory in front of their fans in 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
42.27% (0.267 0.27) 25.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 32.33% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (-0.437 -0.44)48.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (-0.4 -0.4)70.4% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)22.72% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)56.4% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)28.25% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.548 -0.55)63.96% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 42.28%
    NAC Breda 32.33%
    Draw 25.39%
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Willem II vs NAC Breda

Willem II
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
NAC Breda
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
NAC Breda
1-2
Willem II
Marijnissen (90')
Lucassen (78'), Troost (90+5'), Omgba (90+1'), Vet (90+2')
Hilterman (9', 33')
Hilterman (10'), Maes (69'), Behounek (72'), Smits (90+6')
Sep 5, 2023 9.30am
Gameweek 4
Willem II
1-4
NAC Breda
Oosting (64')
van Berkel (5'), Bosch (37'), Bokila (82')
Sejdiu (4', 74'), Haugen (29'), Van den Bergh (49')
Sejdiu (42'), Martina (53')
Apr 25, 2023 1.30pm
Dec 11, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Willem II
1-2
NAC Breda
Bokila (9' pen.)
Ligeon (47'), Antonia (52')
Jan 20, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Willem II
2-0
NAC Breda
Llonch (22'), Vrousai (92')
Dankerlui (16')

El Allouchi (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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