MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 03:24:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heerenveen

Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Driouech (18'), Parrott (24'), Lamprou (63')
Lamprou (34'), Driouech (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heerenveen

Excelsior will be low on confidence following their exit of the KNVB Cup at the hands of second-tier side Groningen in their last fixture. Heerenveen battled back to earn a point at Zwolle last time out, and we are expecting the same result for the visitors on Friday night in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
31.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.72% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.11499999999999 0.11)39.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.11799999999999 0.12)62.35% (-0.122 -0.12)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.043000000000006 0.04)59.1% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.072000000000003 0.07)18.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.124 0.12)49.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.73%
    Heerenveen 44.72%
    Draw 23.53%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

SBV Excelsior
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Heerenveen
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
0-3
Excelsior

Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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