MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 04:10:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heerenveen

Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Driouech (18'), Parrott (24'), Lamprou (63')
Lamprou (34'), Driouech (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heerenveen

Excelsior will be low on confidence following their exit of the KNVB Cup at the hands of second-tier side Groningen in their last fixture. Heerenveen battled back to earn a point at Zwolle last time out, and we are expecting the same result for the visitors on Friday night in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
31.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.72% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.11499999999999 0.11)39.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.11799999999999 0.12)62.35% (-0.122 -0.12)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.043000000000006 0.04)59.1% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.072000000000003 0.07)18.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.124 0.12)49.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.73%
    Heerenveen 44.72%
    Draw 23.53%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

SBV Excelsior
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Heerenveen
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
0-3
Excelsior

Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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