We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 FC Zurich
Zurich have struggled at both ends of the pitch all-season long and it is hard to see them avoiding defeat here. PSV, on the other hand, have been fearsome in front of goal, and we fancy them to cruise to a comfortable victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.