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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Cambuur

Excelsior
4 - 1
Cambuur

Goudmijn (6'), Bergsma (10' og.), Horemans (20'), Lamprou (33')
Markelo (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bangura (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Cambuur
Sunday, March 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Cambuur

There is little separating the teams ahead of Sunday's encounter which could easily swing either way and we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
47.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.81% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)32.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 47.88%
    Cambuur 27.2%
    Draw 24.91%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawCambuur
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Cambuur

SBV Excelsior
36.4%
Draw
40.9%
Cambuur
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.45pm
Apr 5, 2021 1.30pm
Cambuur
7-2
Excelsior
Antonia (14'), Muhren (63', 76' pen., 87'), Oratmangoen (71', 84', 90')
Antonia (20')
Zwarts (6'), Mar Omarsson (52')
Oude Kotte (28'), Horemans (74'), Matthys (75'), Bruins (89')
Dec 20, 2020 11.15am
Excelsior
0-1
Cambuur

van der Meer (42'), Aberkane (60')
Muhren (13')
Hoedemakers (32')
Dec 22, 2019 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-3
Cambuur
Vloet (83')
Fischer (34'), Fortes (49'), Verhaar (63'), Meijer (63'), Bruins (93')
Muhren (11' pen.), Jacobs (29'), Kallon (91')
Sambissa (60')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Cambuur
4-0
Excelsior
Jacobs (23'), Van Deelen (31'), Oratmangoen (42'), Antonia (83')
Akoy (16'), Paulissen (88')

Fortes (35'), Horemans (45'), Ebecilio (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1264224111322
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14Groningen123361219-712
15PEC Zwolle123361422-812
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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