MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:10:39| >> :60:746:746:
AZ Alkmaar
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Utrecht

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Karlsson (86')
Pavlidis (80'), Milos (105+2')
FT
(aet)
Viergever (58'), Maeda (93')
Klaiber (86'), Maeda (110'), Barkas (118')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Volendam 1-1 AZ
Saturday, February 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

 Both sides have shown that they have goals in them so we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet. That said, we are tipping AZ to narrowly edge their visitors and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
55.98% (0.126 0.13) 20.98% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.04% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.25% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (0.262 0.26)34.6% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46% (0.292 0.29)56.54% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (0.123 0.12)12.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72% (0.254 0.25)38.27% (-0.252 -0.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.101 0.1)27.8% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.128 0.13)63.39% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 55.98%
    FC Utrecht 23.04%
    Draw 20.98%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.98%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
84.1%
Draw
7.9%
FC Utrecht
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
AZ
5-5
Utrecht
Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), De Wit (70')
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), Van de Streek (80')
Viergever (90+2')
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
Utrecht
1-2
AZ
Sylla (90+2')
Brouwers (34')
Van Brederode (31'), Sugawara (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')
Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')
Oct 17, 2021 11.15am
AZ
5-1
Utrecht
Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), De Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)
Maduro (90')
Jan 27, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
0-1
Utrecht

Wijndal (70')
Van de Streek (69')
Ramselaar (51'), Janssen (81')
rhs 2.0
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