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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
43.41% ( 0.21) | 24.62% ( 0.16) | 31.97% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( -0.88) | 44.91% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( -0.85) | 67.26% ( 0.86) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.27) | 20.78% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.44) | 53.42% ( 0.44) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( -0.66) | 26.84% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.88) | 62.14% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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