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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
39.45% | 25.87% | 34.68% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% | 49.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.41% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% | 63.03% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.45% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |