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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Roma
1 - 3
Bologna

Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Bologna

Roma have had less chance to rest and recover, but they have recently shown an ability to grind out results rather than simply playing on the front foot under Daniele De Rossi. Bologna (seven) are one of only two teams to have scored more goals in second-half stoppage time than the Giallorossi (five) in Serie A this season, so this contest could go right to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
43.09% (0.95 0.95) 26.36% (0.099 0.1) 30.54% (-1.052 -1.05)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.779 -0.78)52.92% (0.777 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.668 -0.67)74.53% (0.667 0.67)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.13 0.13)24.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.186 0.19)58.77% (-0.185 -0.19)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.132 -1.13)31.81% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-1.316 -1.32)68.25% (1.316 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Roma 43.08%
    Bologna 30.55%
    Draw 26.36%
RomaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma
Draw
Bologna
Roma
75.1%
Draw
16.0%
Bologna
8.8%
181
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
1-0
Bologna
Pellegrini (6' pen.)
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Roma
0-0
Bologna
Medel (41')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bologna
1-0
Roma
Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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