MX23RW : Saturday, January 4 04:14:26| >> :600:1475537:1475537:
Juventus logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Freiburg logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Freiburg

di Maria (53')
Bremer (72'), Bonucci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (24'), Holer (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Freiburg

Juventus have not won a European trophy since 1996, and with a point to prove given recent events at the club, they should be clear-minded about their task. While Freiburg are far from pushovers, the Bianconeri possess far more individual quality and experience at this level, so can take a lead with them to Germany next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFreiburg
56.89% (0.656 0.66) 22.38% (-0.453 -0.45) 20.73% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.88% (1.175 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (1.712 1.71)44.08% (-1.713 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (1.648 1.65)66.46% (-1.648 -1.65)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.816 0.82)15.27% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (1.514 1.51)43.97% (-1.515 -1.52)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.768 0.77)35.22% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (0.794 0.79)71.98% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 56.89%
    Freiburg 20.73%
    Draw 22.37%
JuventusDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Juventus vs Freiburg

Juventus
85.9%
Draw
7.7%
Freiburg
6.4%
220
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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