MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 12:13:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Hofler (63'), Gunter (74'), Grifo (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fuhrich (30')
Karazor (40'), Zagadou (59'), Ito (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, February 7 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Stuttgart

 Although Freiburg are yet to find their top form since returning to action after the World Cup, it is surely only a matter of time until Streich's side put together the sort of winning run we have seen so often from them in recent times. Stuttgart, on the other hand, appear to be in a significant spot of bother having only won three league games so far this season. They are likely to fall to a third successive defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
58.06% (0.59399999999999 0.59) 21.42% (-0.237 -0.24) 20.51% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.605 0.61)40.03% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.622 0.62)62.39% (-0.627 -0.63)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.378 0.38)13.55% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.756 0.76)40.63% (-0.762 -0.76)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.004999999999999 0)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.06%
    Stuttgart 20.51%
    Draw 21.42%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
85.7%
Draw
5.4%
Stuttgart
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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