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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Juventus logo

Spezia
0 - 2
Juventus


Agudelo (16'), Reca (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kean (32'), di Maria (66')
Locatelli (1'), Fagioli (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Spezia 0-2 Juventus

There is little hope for Spezia in this contest based on recent results - in addition to their appalling record versus Juventus - but their visitors have lost twice to Monza this term and also against Maccabi Haifa. A surprise is possible, then, but Juve's front three contains the quality to conjure goals from nearly nothing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
SpeziaDrawJuventus
16.63% (-0.427 -0.43) 21.33% (-0.178 -0.18) 62.04% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)45.77% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.038999999999998 0.04)68.09% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.499 -0.5)40.76% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.66% (-0.45 -0.45)77.34% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.199 0.2)14.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.39 0.39)41.91% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 16.63%
    Juventus 62.02%
    Draw 21.32%
SpeziaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.63%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.02% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.44% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.046 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 62.02%

How you voted: Spezia vs Juventus

Spezia
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Juventus
78.9%
57
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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