MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:37:57| >> :600:396983:396983:
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Europa League
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
 
Freiburg logo

Qarabag
1 - 1
Freiburg

Kwabena (90+2')
Mustafazada (24'), Jankovic (48'), Kady (55'), Romao (90+3')
Medina (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Petersen (25' pen.)
Schade (34'), Keitel (64'), Schlotterbeck (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

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Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Freiburg

 Freiburg, despite being by far the best team in the group, have nothing to play for and have important matters to attend to in the Bundesliga over the next week and a half, so are unlikely to take many first-team regulars to Azerbaijan. Qarabag meanwhile, must win to ensure progression and rested many players at the weekend with all eyes on this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawFreiburg
19.66% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 23.9% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 56.44% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.46% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.090000000000003 0.09)51.79% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.077999999999999 0.08)73.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.106 0.11)40.77% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.094000000000001 0.09)77.35% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.19% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (0.031000000000006 0.03)49.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 19.66%
    Freiburg 56.43%
    Draw 23.89%
Qarabag FKDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 5.09% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.66%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 12.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 6.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.43%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Freiburg

Qarabag FK
53.3%
Draw
11.8%
Freiburg
34.9%
195
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group G
Freiburg
2-1
Qarabag
Grifo (7' pen.), Doan (15')
Vesovic (39')
Bayramov (6')
rhs 2.0
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