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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Freiburg logo

Dortmund
5 - 1
Freiburg

Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Guerreiro (5'), Adeyemi (27'), Brandt (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Holer (45')
Sildillia (15'), Kyereh (56'), Streich (77'), Gregoritsch (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Dortmund
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Freiburg

 Both teams will head into this encounter with plenty of confidence having secured comfortable victories last weekend, and it is certainly a difficult one to predict given that they are level on points before a ball is kicked on Saturday. Dortmund look to have gone up a level since returning after the World Cup, though, and playing on home territory should help them get over the line against a top-four competitor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
68.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 18.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)37.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.42% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)9.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)39.31% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)76.01% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.09%
    Freiburg 13.74%
    Draw 18.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.09%
1-1 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.74%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund
81.7%
Draw
16.9%
Freiburg
1.4%
71
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
Freiburg
1-3
Dortmund
Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
Demirovic (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

Chang-Hoon (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232
> Bundesliga Full Table


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