Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.