MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:05:41| >> :600:6756415:6756415:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
San Marino national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Northern Ireland national football team

San Marino
0 - 2
N. Ireland

FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (24', 55')
Brown (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between San Marino and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 1-0 San Marino
Sunday, November 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: San Marino 0-2 Northern Ireland

 While this should theoretically be one of Northern Ireland's easiest fixtures of the group, it comes with the added pressure of being a must-win. Although the visitors should achieve that comfortably enough, do not expect the goals to flow as they normally do against San Marino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Northern Ireland in this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawNorthern Ireland
7.09% (0.052099999999999 0.05) 15.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09) 77.17% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 37.47% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)46.16% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.199 -0.2)68.46% (0.202 0.2)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.68%58.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.23%89.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)10.09% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.77% (-0.206 -0.21)33.22% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 7.09%
    Northern Ireland 77.15%
    Draw 15.74%
San MarinoDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 3.17% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 7.09%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.74%
0-2 @ 15.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 13.49% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 77.15%

How you voted: San Marino vs N. Ireland

San Marino
23.8%
Draw
11.9%
Northern Ireland
64.3%
84
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group C
San Marino
0-3
N. Ireland

Bernardi (54'), Simoncini (63'), Biordi (66'), Bonini (78')
Magennis (70', 75'), Davis (78' pen.)
Oct 8, 2016 7.45pm
Group C
N. Ireland
4-0
San Marino
Davis (26' pen.), Lafferty (79', 94'), Ward (86')

Palazzi (33'), Vitaioli (40'), Berardi (51')
Palazzi (50')
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