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FA Cup
Leeds logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Elland Road
Harrogate Town

Leeds
1 - 0
Harrogate

Ramazani (59')
Guilavogui (64'), Ramazani (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (21'), Burrell (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Hull City 3-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Harrogate Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Leeds United 4-1 Harrogate Town

 The depth of Leeds' squad suggests that, even with heavy rotation, they will field an XI with internationals and plenty of players with top-flight experience, and that should be too much for Harrogate. For the travelling 4,000 Harrogate fans, few will be expecting a result here, and their position near the bottom of League Two is a clear indicator that they will struggle against the second-tier leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 84.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
84.96% (-0.639 -0.64) 10.64% (0.413 0.41) 4.39% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 39.11% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (-0.971 -0.97)33.6% (0.968 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.58% (-1.114 -1.11)55.41% (1.11 1.11)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.41% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)5.59% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.29% (-0.869 -0.87)21.71% (0.866 0.87)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.42% (0.209 0.21)58.57% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.09% (0.111 0.11)89.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 84.95%
    Harrogate Town 4.39%
    Draw 10.64%
Leeds UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
2-0 @ 13.61% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 13.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 9.44% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.45% (-0.238 -0.24)
4-1 @ 5.05% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
6-0 @ 2.62% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 84.95%
1-1 @ 5.05% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 1.95% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 10.64%
0-1 @ 1.75% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 1.35% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.39%

How you voted: Leeds vs Harrogate

Leeds United
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
Harrogate Town
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2024 7.30pm
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0-3
Leeds
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> Preview
Jul 10, 2015 7.30pm
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> Match Report
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> Premier League Full Table


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