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FA Cup
Middlesbrough logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Blackburn logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn


McCabe (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weimann (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Blackburn Rovers (Middlesbrough win on penalties)

 There is almost nothing to separate the sides in the Championship table, and both managers could be tempted to make some personnel changes with the promotion picture hotting up. The two sides have won very few games in recent weeks, and this one may go all the way, with Boro proving tough to beat, even if they have only won two of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 18.85% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)15.44% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (0.019000000000005 0.02)38.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 58.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 18.85%
    Draw 22.31%
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Blackburn

Middlesbrough
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Blackburn Rovers
14.3%
42
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