Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rylands win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Thackley had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rylands win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Thackley win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rylands would win this match.